Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Jessica Pegula		Eva Lys

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.16	5
	1.15	5.6
	1.14	6.29
	1.19	4.55	Watch
	1.17	5
	1.14	5.6	Watch
	1.15	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.24)	5.39 ↑ (4.15)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
82.4%

Eva Lys
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jessica Pegula's performance.

Eva Lys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eva Lys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Jessica Pegula - Eva Lys Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Lys will win (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 56% – 94%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Sets - Pegula (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5 Games - Pegula (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jessica Pegula will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Pegula (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Lys (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 3. Lys is ranked WTA: 68.

Pegula is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lys is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pegula could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pegula is absolute favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA Stuttgart
19.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Magdalena Frech - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
06.04.25	Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Jessica Pegula - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Jessica Pegula - Danielle Collins	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW
- Eva Lys
WTA Madrid
23.04.25	Eva Lys - Teodora Kostovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.25	Eva Lys - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Eva Lys - Panna Udvardy	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Eva Lys - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Eva Lys - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW

Jessica Pegula - Eva Lys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide