Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Jessica Pegula		Sofia Kenin

	1	2
	1.06	10.00	Watch
	1.05	9.00
	1.06	9.00
	1.07	11.58
	1.05	10.25	Watch
	1.05	10.00
	1.06	10.40	Watch
	1.06	9.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↑ (1.04)	9.98 ↑ (9.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 18.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
90.4%

Sofia Kenin
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.9%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 3. Kenin is ranked WTA: 110.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 3.

Pegula is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kenin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pegula may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pegula is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA US Open
30.08.26	Jessica Pegula - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
23.08.26	Cori Gauff - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Amanda Anisimova - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Sorana Cirstea - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW
- Sofia Kenin
WTA US Open
30.08.26	Venus Williams - Sofia Kenin	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.26	Marta Kostyuk - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Sofia Kenin - Eva Lys	2:1 ✺
WTA Toronto
01.08.26	Sofia Kenin - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
WTA Washington
27.07.26	Emma Navarro - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Charleston
06.04.25	Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin	2:0
WTA US Open
29.08.24	Sofia Kenin - Jessica Pegula	0:2
WTA Roland Garros
05.06.21	Sofia Kenin - Jessica Pegula	2:1
WTA Melbourne Yarra Valley Classic
02.02.21	Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin	1:2
WTA Quebec City
15.09.18	Sofia Kenin - Jessica Pegula	1:2
ITF Tournaments
19.04.16	Sofia Kenin - Jessica Pegula	1:2

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