Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Mia Ristic		Jessica Pieri

	1	2
	1.13	5.50	Watch
	1.14	5.25
	1.18	4.60
	1.15	4.86	Watch
	1.14	5.45
	1.10	5.65	Watch
	1.13	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.21)	5.22 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mia Ristic
82.1%

Jessica Pieri
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mia Ristic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mia Ristic's performance.

Jessica Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mia Ristic - Jessica Pieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ristic will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ristic is ranked WTA: 191., and Pieri is ranked WTA: 383..

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Pieri may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Ristic is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ristic has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mia Ristic
ATP Challenger
23.09.26	Noemi Basiletti - Mia Ristic	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Mia Ristic - Arantxa Rus	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Mona Barthel - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Martina Colmegna - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Jessica Pieri
ATP Challenger
23.09.26	Jessica Pieri - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Jessica Pieri - Ginevra De Angelis	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Jessica Pieri - Aneta Kucmova	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Jessica Pieri - Yana Morderger	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Jessica Pieri - Ruth Roura Llaverias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Jessica Pieri - Mia Ristic	0:2

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