Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Seoul - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Jessika Ponchet		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.69	2.21
	1.46	2.59	Watch
	1.68	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.33)	2.25 ↓ (2.93)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessika Ponchet
58.2%

Maria Lourdes Carle
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jessika Ponchet's form might have worsened.

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Lourdes Carle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jessika Ponchet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Jessika Ponchet - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ponchet will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Carle will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponchet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ponchet is ranked WTA: 167. Carle is ranked WTA: 122.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Carle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessika Ponchet
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Linda Klimovicova - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Elizabeth Mandlik - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.25	Jessika Ponchet - Janice Tjen	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Elvina Kalieva - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Yexin Ma - Jessika Ponchet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Jessica Pieri	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Yidi Yang	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Maria Timofeeva	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Yidi Yang	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Xinxin Yao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW

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