Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Ji Sung Nam		Luca Castelnuovo

	1	2
	2.00	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.90	1.85	Watch
	2.01	1.88
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.99	1.85
	1.95	1.74	Watch
	1.97	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.04)	1.78 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ji Sung Nam
47.5%

Luca Castelnuovo
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ji Sung Nam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ji Sung Nam than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ji Sung Nam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castelnuovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ji Sung Nam - Luca Castelnuovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nam is ranked ATP: 1038. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 461.

Now, both players are in good form.

Nam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Castelnuovo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Castelnuovo will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ji Sung Nam
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Ji Sung Nam - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Rei Sakamoto - Ji Sung Nam	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Kaito Uesugi - Ji Sung Nam	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Ji Sung Nam - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Dominik Palan - Ji Sung Nam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWWWL
- Luca Castelnuovo
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Matthew Dellavedova	Castelnuovo L. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Kuan-Shou Chen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWW?L

Ji Sung Nam - Luca Castelnuovo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide