Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Taipei 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Luca Castelnuovo		Kuan-Shou Chen

	1	2
			Watch
	1.70	2.00
	1.65	2.06
	1.73	2.13
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.69	2.12
	1.65	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.34)	2.07 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castelnuovo
55.2%

Kuan-Shou Chen
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castelnuovo's form might have worsened.

Kuan-Shou Chen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kuan-Shou Chen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castelnuovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuan-Shou Chen than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kuan-Shou Chen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luca Castelnuovo - Kuan Shou Chen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 455.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Castelnuovo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Castelnuovo is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Yanki Erel - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Hiromasa Koyama - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Moerani Bouzige - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.07.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Alexander Vasilev	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLL
- Kuan-Shou Chen
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Hyeon Chung - Kuan-Shou Chen	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Kuan-Shou Chen - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Kuan-Shou Chen	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Kuan-Shou Chen	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Yen-Chun Wang - Kuan-Shou Chen	Wang Y. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.9 WWWL?

Luca Castelnuovo - Kuan-Shou Chen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide