Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Jiri Lehecka		Jack Draper

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.88	1.47
			Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.78	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.4)	1.45 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
34.3%

Jack Draper
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jiri Lehecka's performance.

Jack Draper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jack Draper might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jiri Lehecka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jack Draper could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	0%	61.9%

Jiri Lehecka - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Lehecka will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Draper will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Lehecka (votes: 7 - 70%). Draper (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Lehecka (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Lehecka (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Draper (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lehecka is ranked ATP: 30. Draper is ranked ATP: 6.

Now, both players are in good form.

Draper may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Draper is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Draper will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lehecka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP London
20.06.25	Jiri Lehecka - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Jiri Lehecka - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Alex De Minaur - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
13.06.25	Ben Shelton - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLW
- Jack Draper
ATP London
20.06.25	Brandon Nakashima - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
18.06.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Jenson Brooksby - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
02.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Jack Draper	3:1 ✺
31.05.25	Joao Fonseca - Jack Draper	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
21.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Jack Draper	1:2
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Jack Draper - Jiri Lehecka	2:0
ATP Adelaide
13.01.24	Jack Draper - Jiri Lehecka	1:2

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