Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 June 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Alexander Bublik		Jack Draper

	1	2
	8	1.08	Watch
	7.25	1.09
	7.8	1.08	Watch
	10.3	1.08
	7.37	1.09	Watch
	7.5	1.08
	7.6	1.1	Watch
	7.8	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.95 ↑ (6.37)	1.09 ↓ (1.12)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
12%

Jack Draper
88%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

85.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Alexander Bublik - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Draper will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Draper (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 3rd Set - Draper (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Draper (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Draper (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 Games, 3rd Set - Draper (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 Games, 2nd Set - Draper (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 Games, 1st Set - Draper (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Draper (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +6.5 Games - Bublik (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Draper (votes: 9 - 64.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 62. Draper is ranked ATP: 5.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Draper may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Draper is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Henrique Rocha	3:0 ✺
29.05.25	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
27.05.25	Alexander Bublik - James Duckworth	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWLW
- Jack Draper
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.25	Joao Fonseca - Jack Draper	0:3 ✺
29.05.25	Gael Monfils - Jack Draper	1:3 ✺
27.05.25	Mattia Bellucci - Jack Draper	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
14.05.25	Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Jack Draper - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide
12.01.24	Jack Draper - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP London
16.06.21	Alexander Bublik - Jack Draper	0:2
15.06.19	Alexander Bublik - Jack Draper	2:1

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