Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	15:45	Max
Croatia	14:45	Max
Czech Republic	14:45	Max
Denmark	14:45	Max
Finland	15:45	Max
France	14:45	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	14:45	Max
Norway	14:45	MAX
Poland	14:45	Max
Romania	15:45	Max
Serbia	14:45	Max
Slovenia	14:45	Max
Sweden	14:45	Max
Usa	08:45	Max


	Joao Fonseca		Jack Draper

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.78	1.5
	2.61	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.64	1.49	Watch
	2.65	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.51)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
36.1%

Jack Draper
63.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.7%	0%	34.3%

Joao Fonseca - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 23 - 65.7%). Draper will win (votes: 12 - 34.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 50% – 81.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 36 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joao Fonseca will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

#ad

Preview

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 65. Draper is ranked ATP: 5.

In recent matches, Fonseca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Draper is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Draper could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Draper will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fonseca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Joao Fonseca - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	3:0 ✺
27.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Fabian Marozsan - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Joao Fonseca - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL
- Jack Draper
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Gael Monfils - Jack Draper	1:3 ✺
27.05.25	Mattia Bellucci - Jack Draper	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
14.05.25	Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Jack Draper - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Jack Draper - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Jack Draper - Joao Fonseca	2:0

Joao Fonseca - Jack Draper