Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Joao Fonseca		Jack Draper

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.78	1.5
	2.61	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.64	1.49	Watch
	2.65	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.51)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
36.1%

Jack Draper
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.7%	0%	34.3%

Joao Fonseca - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 23 - 65.7%). Draper will win (votes: 12 - 34.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 50% – 81.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 36 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joao Fonseca will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 65. Draper is ranked ATP: 5.

In recent matches, Fonseca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Draper is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Draper could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Draper will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fonseca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Joao Fonseca - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	3:0 ✺
27.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Fabian Marozsan - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Joao Fonseca - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL
- Jack Draper
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Gael Monfils - Jack Draper	1:3 ✺
27.05.25	Mattia Bellucci - Jack Draper	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
14.05.25	Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Jack Draper - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Jack Draper - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Jack Draper - Joao Fonseca	2:0

Joao Fonseca - Jack Draper: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide