Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Suzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Joanna Garland		Lucia Bronzetti

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.99	1.73	Watch
	2.09	1.76
	2.14	1.66	Watch
	1.99	1.75	Watch
	1.99	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.35)	1.73 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joanna Garland
45.9%

Lucia Bronzetti
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joanna Garland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joanna Garland's performance.

Lucia Bronzetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucia Bronzetti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joanna Garland than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joanna Garland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucia Bronzetti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Joanna Garland - Lucia Bronzetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Garland will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Bronzetti will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Garland: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Garland (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bronzetti (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Bronzetti (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Garland (votes: 2 - 50%). Bronzetti (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Garland is ranked WTA: 134. Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 73.

Garland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bronzetti is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Garland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joanna Garland
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Joanna Garland - Linda Fruhvirtova	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Joanna Garland - Wushuang Zheng	2:0 ✺
WTA Beijing
23.09.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Joanna Garland	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Xinxin Yao - Joanna Garland	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Carole Monnet - Joanna Garland	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL
- Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Beijing
24.09.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Kamilla Rakhimova	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
24.08.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Tereza Valentova	1:2 ✺
WTA Cleveland
18.08.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Viktorija Golubic	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
14.08.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLLW

Joanna Garland - Lucia Bronzetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide