Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finalsDate: 14 May 2025, Wednesday
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Jack Draper |
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Carlos Alcaraz Garfia |
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- The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jack Draper
30.1% | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
69.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jack Draper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 31 - 91.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 81.7% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Draper is ranked ATP: 5. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3.Draper is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Alcaraz Garfia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is a strong favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Draper won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
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Form
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✺ - difficult match;
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