Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Fabian Marozsan		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.15	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.39
	2.97	1.38	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.2	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.41)	1.37 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
30.4%

Joao Fonseca
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabian Marozsan's form might have worsened.

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.4%	0%	88.6%

Fabian Marozsan - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Marozsan (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Fonseca (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Fonseca (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Joao Fonseca will win (31 of 35 users predict this - 88.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.03% – 99.11%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joao Fonseca will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Marozsan (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Fonseca (votes: 10 - 90.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marozsan is ranked ATP: 46. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 39.

Marozsan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fonseca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fonseca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fonseca is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marozsan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Joao Fonseca - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 61.95%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Fabian Marozsan - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Fabian Marozsan - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Fabian Marozsan - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
10.02.26	Zizou Bergs - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLW?
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.26	Joao Fonseca - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Joao Fonseca - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Karen Khachanov - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Joao Fonseca - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.26	Joao Fonseca - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
08.05.25	Fabian Marozsan - Joao Fonseca	2:0

Fabian Marozsan - Joao Fonseca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide