Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Joao Fonseca		Jaume Munar

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.67	2.16	Watch
	1.71	2.12	Watch
			Watch
	1.69	2.23	Watch
	1.67	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.49)	2.16 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
56.2%

Jaume Munar
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Fonseca's form might have worsened.

Jaume Munar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaume Munar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaume Munar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	0%	64.7%

Joao Fonseca - Jaume Munar Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Munar will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Munar: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 5 - 50%). Munar (votes: 5 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Munar (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Munar (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Munar (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Munar (3.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Munar (votes: 9 - 64.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 46. Munar is ranked ATP: 42.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Fonseca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Joao Fonseca - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 61.3%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Basel
24.10.25	Joao Fonseca - Denis Shapovalov	Shapovalov D. retired ✺
22.10.25	Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca	Fonseca J. walkover ✺
21.10.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Joao Fonseca - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
19.09.25	Flavio Cobolli - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ??WLW
- Jaume Munar
ATP Basel
24.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jaume Munar	Auger-Aliassime F. retired ✺
23.10.25	Jaume Munar - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Remy Bertola - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.25	Jaume Munar - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 ?WWLW

Joao Fonseca - Jaume Munar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide