Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Cameron Norrie		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.95	1.83	Watch
	2.04	1.86
	1.62	2.23	Watch
	1.97	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.62)	1.91 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
49.9%

Lorenzo Sonego
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cameron Norrie's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Sonego's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cameron Norrie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Sonego will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Sonego (votes: 11 - 61.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 27. Sonego is ranked ATP: 42.

Now, both players are in good form.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Norrie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Cameron Norrie - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.92%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Metz
06.11.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Arthur Cazaux - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Valentin Royer - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Cameron Norrie - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWWLW
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Metz
06.11.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Flavio Cobolli - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Jan Choinski - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hong Kong
01.01.25	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0
ATP San Diego
27.09.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Cameron Norrie	Canceled
ATP Monte Carlo
18.04.19	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2

Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide