Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday


	Maxim Mrva		Alex Barrena

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.71	2.08
	1.72	2.25
	1.63	2.16	Watch
	1.70	2.18
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.63)	2.13 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
55.9%

Alex Barrena
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 309. Barrena is ranked ATP: 259.

Mrva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Barrena has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barrena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxim Mrva - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.42%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
14.08.26	Maxim Mrva - Federico Agustin Gomez	Gomez F. A. Retired ✺
12.08.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
10.08.26	Maxim Mrva - Pierluigi Basile	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Maxim Mrva - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Rudolf Molleker - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 ?WWLW
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
14.08.26	Alex Barrena - Lukas Neumayer	Neumayer L. Retired ✺
13.08.26	Alex Barrena - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Alex Barrena - Georgii Kravchenko	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Henri Squire - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Alex Barrena - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 ?WWLW

Maxim Mrva - Alex Barrena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide