Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Daniel Dutra da Silva

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	2.85	Watch
	1.43	2.98
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.38	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)	2.91 ↓ (2.98)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
67.8%

Daniel Dutra da Silva
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Daniel Dutra da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Dutra da Silva than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Daniel Dutra da Silva Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Dutra da Silva will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 205. Dutra da Silva is ranked ATP: 321.

The current form of both players is below expectations.

Reis Da Silva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Reis Da Silva is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reis Da Silva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Matias Soto	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
21.02.26	Vilius Gaubas - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Gabriel Diallo - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLL?
- Daniel Dutra da Silva
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
07.02.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.04.24	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2
06.11.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1
07.03.23	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	Dutra Da Silva D. retired
ITF Tournaments
12.11.21	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0
05.06.19	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0

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