Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.75	1.23	Watch
	4.26	1.22
	3.85	1.23	Watch
			Watch
	3.8	1.24	Watch
	3.4	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.4)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
24.4%

Emilio Nava
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Emilio Nava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 231. Nava is ranked ATP: 100.

Reis Da Silva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nava is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Reis Da Silva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nava is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Reis Da Silva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Maximus Jones - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Alexander Blockx - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.08.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Olle Wallin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWW
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Emilio Nava - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Emilio Nava - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Emilio Nava - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.03.25	Emilio Nava - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0

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