The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 40.6%
Franco Roncadelli 59.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.9%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.2%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva's form might have worsened.
Franco Roncadelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Franco Roncadelli's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (+24.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-24.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Franco Roncadelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
0%
90.9%
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Franco Roncadelli Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Roncadelli will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Confidence interval (95%) for Roncadelli: 71.4% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 345.Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 370.
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
Roncadelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Roncadelli will have a small advantage in this match.