Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CALI (COLOMBIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 June 2023, Monday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Gerald Melzer

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.82	1.95
	1.89	1.94
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.81	1.92	Watch
	1.78	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.66)	1.91 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
51.1%

Gerald Melzer
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Gerald Melzer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerald Melzer than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gerald Melzer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Gerald Melzer Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Melzer will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melzer: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
14.06.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
12.06.23	Denis Yevseyev - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2 ✺
05.06.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Adam Neff	1:2 ✺
01.06.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
30.05.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLW
- Gerald Melzer
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Gerald Melzer - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
12.06.23	Timo Stodder - Gerald Melzer	0:2 ✺
12.06.23	Michal Krajci - Gerald Melzer	1:2 ✺
04.06.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Gerald Melzer	2:0 ✺
10.05.23	Gerald Melzer - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL

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