Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAO LEOPOLDO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Goncalo Oliveira

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.58	Watch
	2.36	1.61
	2.37	1.61
	2.25	1.57
	2.31	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.65)	1.58 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
40.9%

Goncalo Oliveira
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva's performance.

Goncalo Oliveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goncalo Oliveira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goncalo Oliveira than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goncalo Oliveira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Goncalo Oliveira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oliveira is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oliveira will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
19.03.24	Hugo Dellien - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.02.24	Gonzalo Villanueva - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LL?LL
- Goncalo Oliveira
ATP Challenger
19.03.24	Federico Agustin Gomez - Goncalo Oliveira	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Goncalo Oliveira	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Goncalo Oliveira	2:1 ✺
06.03.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWW

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