Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.4	Watch
	2.71	1.48
	2.76	1.39	Watch
			Watch
	2.68	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.62)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
34.9%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 220. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 137.

Reis Da Silva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barrios Vera is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Reis Da Silva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barrios Vera might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Barrios Vera will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reis Da Silva won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
04.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Bagnis	Reis Da Silva J. walkover ✺
30.09.25	Matias Soto - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LW?WL
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1
25.03.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0
13.03.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	Canceled
ATP Challenger
04.05.22	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0

Upcoming Matches