Match Info

Date: 7 April 2022, Thursday


	Joao Sousa		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.75	1.46
	2.65	1.44
	2.66	1.54
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.73	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.78)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Sousa
35.1%

Roberto Carballes Baena
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Joao Sousa - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Sousa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carballes Baena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sousa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Sousa
ATP Marrakech
05.04.22	Federico Delbonis - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.22	Joao Sousa - Fernando Verdasco	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
09.03.22	Joao Sousa - Christopher Eubanks	0:2 ✺
08.03.22	Joao Sousa - Max Purcell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Marrakech
05.04.22	Marco Cecchinato - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.04.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jiri Vesely	0:2 ✺
30.03.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
29.03.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nikola Milojevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
23.02.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Joao Sousa	2:0
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.17	Roberto Carballes Baena - Joao Sousa	2:0
ATP Casablanca
10.04.14	Joao Sousa - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2

Joao Sousa - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide