Match Info

Date: 10 March 2022, Thursday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Joao Sousa

	1	2
	1.5	2.62	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.56	2.43	Watch
	1.49	2.5
	1.53	2.65
	1.61	2.3
	1.54	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (2.26)	2.5 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
61.9%

Joao Sousa
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pedro Martinez Portero's performance.

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joao Sousa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-20.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pedro Martinez Portero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+20.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Sousa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Joao Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Sousa will win (votes: 10 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 56.4% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martinez Portero is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sousa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sousa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Martinez Portero will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Martinez Portero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Santiago
27.02.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
25.02.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
24.02.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL
- Joao Sousa
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.22	Joao Sousa - Christopher Eubanks	0:2 ✺
08.03.22	Joao Sousa - Max Purcell	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
05.03.22	Joao Sousa - Kamil Majchrzak	Canceled ✺
04.03.22	Joao Sousa - Kacper Zuk	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
19.02.22	Yuki Bhambri - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
10.04.18	Joao Sousa - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0

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