Match Info

Date: 26 April 2022, Tuesday


	Joao Sousa		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.2	1.35
	3	1.36
	3.32	1.37
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.32	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.77)	1.35 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Sousa
29.7%

Sebastian Baez
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.4%	0%	51.6%

Joao Sousa - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%). Baez will win (votes: 16 - 51.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 34% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Sousa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Sousa
ATP Belgrade
19.04.22	Thiago Monteiro - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.22	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
09.04.22	Carlos Taberner - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
07.04.22	Joao Sousa - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
05.04.22	Federico Delbonis - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWLW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Barcelona
18.04.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
10.04.22	Sebastian Baez - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Sebastian Baez - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.22	Sebastian Baez - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL

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