Match Info

Date: 18 April 2022, Monday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.81	2
	1.85	1.93
	1.93	1.96
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.86	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.75)	1.93 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
50.9%

Sebastian Baez
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Lorenzo Musetti - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 45 - 75%). Baez will win (votes: 15 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 64% – 86%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Musetti won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
13.04.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
12.04.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
08.04.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
06.04.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
10.04.22	Sebastian Baez - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Sebastian Baez - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.22	Sebastian Baez - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.22	Sebastian Baez - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Next Gen Finals
09.11.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Sebastian Baez	1:3

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