Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Biella, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Carlo Alberto Caniato		Alex Barrena

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.78	2.00
	1.74	2	Watch
	1.82	2.01
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.73	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.45)	1.99 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato
53.1%

Alex Barrena
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlo Alberto Caniato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlo Alberto Caniato's form might have worsened.

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Barrena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlo Alberto Caniato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Barrena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Alex Barrena Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Caniato will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Barrena will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrena: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Caniato is ranked ATP: 534., and Barrena is ranked ATP: 216..

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Caniato could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Caniato holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Mika Brunold - Carlo Alberto Caniato	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Pierre Delage	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Amine Jamji	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLW
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Alex Barrena - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Alex Barrena - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Alex Barrena - Maxime Chazal	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Zdenek Kolar - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Alex Barrena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide