Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Mar Del Plata, clay - Quarter-finalsDate: 28 August 2026, Friday
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 |
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 |
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Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo |
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Lorenzo Gagliardo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.19 |
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4.00 |
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 |
1.17 |
|
4.30 |
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 |
1.21 |
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4.56 |
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 |
1.18 |
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4.16 |
 Watch |
 |
1.19 |
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4.50 |
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 |
1.15 |
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4.40 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.18 ↓
(1.46) |
|
4.32 ↑
(2.55) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 18.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
78.5% | Lorenzo Gagliardo
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo's performance.Lorenzo Gagliardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Gagliardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (-21.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Gagliardo than the current prediction. (+21.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Gagliardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lorenzo Gagliardo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 460. Gagliardo is ranked ATP: 965.Aguilar Cardozo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).In recent matches, Gagliardo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Aguilar Cardozo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Aguilar Cardozo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.We predict that Aguilar Cardozo will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aguilar Cardozo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 63.59%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ITF Tournaments | | | 18.08.26 | Lorenzo Gagliardo - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 0:2 |
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