Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Asuncion 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Gagliardo		Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

	1	2
	3.85	1.21
	4.42	1.22
	4.6	1.15	Watch
	4.35	1.20
	4.39	1.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (2.88)	1.19 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Gagliardo
21.6%

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
78.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Gagliardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Gagliardo's form might have worsened.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Gagliardo than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Gagliardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Gagliardo is ranked ATP: 910. Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 503.

Gagliardo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aguilar Cardozo is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Aguilar Cardozo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aguilar Cardozo is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Gagliardo
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Santiago De La Fuente - Lorenzo Gagliardo	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Bastian Malla - Lorenzo Gagliardo	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Fermin Tenti	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Carlos Maria Zarate	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Tomas Tischner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW
- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Rafael Tosetto - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Nicolas Zanellato - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Santiago Pesino - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Shrriman Narayanan - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide