Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday


	Christoph Negritu		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.84	1.43
	2.62	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.51	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.75)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
35.4%

Daniel Rincon
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Christoph Negritu - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rincon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Rincon (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rincon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 273. Rincon is ranked ATP: 202.

Negritu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rincon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Negritu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rincon might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Christoph Negritu - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
08.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Dino Prizmic - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Christoph Negritu - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLLW
- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Daniel Rincon - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Daniel Rincon - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Lukas Neumayer - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Christoph Negritu - Daniel Rincon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide