Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.31	1.54	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.27	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.28)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
40.2%

Vilius Gaubas
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Joel Schwaerzler - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 354. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gaubas could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
21.07.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Facundo Juarez	2:1 ✺
11.07.25	Tristan Lamasine - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Lautaro Midon - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Ludvig Fredrik Hede	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW

Upcoming Matches