Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje (North Macedonia), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 May 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Popovski Z. (Mkd)


	Joel Schwaerzler		Ergi Kirkin

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.68	2.1
	1.72	2.16
	1.72	2.16
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.12	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.52)	2.11 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
55.6%

Ergi Kirkin
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.

Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ergi Kirkin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ergi Kirkin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joel Schwaerzler - Ergi Kirkin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Schwaerzler is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kirkin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
21.05.24	Joel Schwaerzler - Sergey Fomin	Fomin S. retired ✺
10.05.24	Joel Schwaerzler - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Martin Landaluce - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
07.05.24	Mats Rosenkranz - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Joel Schwaerzler - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LWWL
- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
21.05.24	Luka Mikrut - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Bruno Kuzuhara - Ergi Kirkin	2:1 ✺
07.05.24	Jose Pereira - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
04.05.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWW

Joel Schwaerzler - Ergi Kirkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide