Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Federico Coria

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.12	1.65	Watch
	2.13	1.72
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.61	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.45)	1.64 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
42.8%

Federico Coria
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joel Schwaerzler's performance.

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Coria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Joel Schwaerzler - Federico Coria Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Coria will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coria: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 40%). Coria (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Coria (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Coria (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 354. Coria is ranked ATP: 154.

Schwaerzler has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Coria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schwaerzler won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Coria - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.29%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
21.07.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL
- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Federico Coria - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Federico Coria - Martin Krumich	2:1 ✺
ATP Umag
19.07.25	Federico Coria - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Maximilian Marterer - Federico Coria	Coria F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Federico Coria - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1

Joel Schwaerzler - Federico Coria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide