Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Jonas Forejtek		Filippo Romano

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65	Watch
	1.4	2.71	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.38	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)	2.68 ↑ (2.66)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonas Forejtek
65.6%

Filippo Romano
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonas Forejtek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Filippo Romano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filippo Romano than the current prediction. (-4%)

Jonas Forejtek - Filippo Romano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Forejtek is ranked ATP: 362. Romano is ranked ATP: 559.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Forejtek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Forejtek could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Filippo Romano - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.16%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonas Forejtek
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Jonas Forejtek - Henri Squire	Canceled ✺
04.02.26	Jonas Forejtek - Florian Broska	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Vadym Ursu - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.01.26	Max Houkes - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Jonas Forejtek - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?LWLW
- Filippo Romano
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Marko Topo - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Filippo Romano - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Filippo Romano - Alberto Morolli	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Filippo Romano - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Filippo Romano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLW

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