Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ZADAR (CROATIA), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Jonas Forejtek		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	2.08	1.8
	2.08	1.81
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.77	Watch
	1.97	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.6)	1.8 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonas Forejtek
47.9%

Jozef Kovalik
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonas Forejtek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jonas Forejtek's form might have worsened.

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jozef Kovalik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jonas Forejtek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Jonas Forejtek - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Forejtek will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Kovalik will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forejtek: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Forejtek in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kovalik is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kovalik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Forejtek won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonas Forejtek
ATP Challenger
22.03.24	Lukas Neumayer - Jonas Forejtek	1:2 ✺
20.03.24	Jonas Forejtek - Dino Prizmic	2:1 ✺
19.03.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Jonas Forejtek	1:2 ✺
18.03.24	Jonas Forejtek - Mark Wallner	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Jonas Forejtek - Marino Jakic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
22.03.24	Jozef Kovalik - Nino Serdarusic	2:1 ✺
21.03.24	Zsombor Piros - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
19.03.24	Jozef Kovalik - Evan Furness	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Titouan Droguet - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Peter Fajta - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.04.22	Jozef Kovalik - Jonas Forejtek	0:2

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