Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Jonas Forejtek		Luka Mikrut

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.82	1.47
	3.99	1.21	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.64)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonas Forejtek
33.6%

Luka Mikrut
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonas Forejtek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Luka Mikrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jonas Forejtek - Luka Mikrut Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Forejtek will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Mikrut will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mikrut (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Forejtek is ranked ATP: 360. Mikrut is ranked ATP: 162.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Forejtek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mikrut could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Forejtek won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Luka Mikrut - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonas Forejtek
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Matej Dodig - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Jonas Forejtek - Flynn Thomas	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Jonas Forejtek - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Jonas Forejtek - Henri Squire	Canceled ✺
04.02.26	Jonas Forejtek - Florian Broska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWW?L
- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Luka Mikrut	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Giles Hussey - Luka Mikrut	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Izan Almazan Valiente - Luka Mikrut	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Luka Mikrut	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Jaime Faria - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.01.25	Jonas Forejtek - Luka Mikrut	1:2

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