Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London (United Kingdom), grass - Semi-finals

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Select
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Jordan Thompson		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.78	1.96	Watch
	1.9	2
	1.91	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.83	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	1.99 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jordan Thompson
52%

Lorenzo Musetti
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	0%	35%

Jordan Thompson - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Musetti will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jordan Thompson: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Jordan Thompson is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Musetti is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Musetti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jordan Thompson won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP London
21.06.24	Jordan Thompson - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
19.06.24	Jordan Thompson - Andy Murray	Murray A. retired ✺
17.06.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.24	Milos Raonic - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Jordan Thompson - Maximilian Marterer	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 W?WLL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP London
21.06.24	Billy Harris - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
20.06.24	Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
18.06.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
15.06.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik	Bublik A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide
10.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Jordan Thompson	2:0

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