Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris (France), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Colombia	ESPN 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Prima Sport 5
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Jordan Thompson		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.34
	3.4	1.32	Watch
	3.55	1.34
	3.31	1.37	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.42	1.32	Watch
	3.4	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.68)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jordan Thompson
28.3%

Ugo Humbert
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jordan Thompson's form might have worsened.

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ugo Humbert's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jordan Thompson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ugo Humbert, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	7.1%	57.1%

Jordan Thompson - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Humbert will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 28. Humbert is ranked ATP: 18.

Recent matches Jordan Thompson is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Humbert is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jordan Thompson could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Humbert is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Humbert to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Jordan Thompson won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Paris
31.10.24	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Casper Ruud - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
28.10.24	Jordan Thompson - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.24	Jordan Thompson - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
28.09.24	Jordan Thompson - Kei Nishikori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLL
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Paris
31.10.24	Ugo Humbert - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
30.10.24	Ugo Humbert - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
28.10.24	Ugo Humbert - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.24	Ugo Humbert - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
21.10.24	Ugo Humbert - Jerome Kym	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Jordan Thompson - Ugo Humbert	2:1
ATP Brisbane
03.01.24	Jordan Thompson - Ugo Humbert	Thompson J. walkover

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