Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris (France), hard (indoor) - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 October 2024, Monday


	Ugo Humbert		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.54	2.49	Watch
	1.6	2.47
	1.56	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.54	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.59)	2.48 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
61.5%

Brandon Nakashima
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	4.3%	17.4%

Ugo Humbert - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Ugo Humbert will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 16. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 38.

Recent matches Humbert is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nakashima is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Humbert will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Humbert won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Basel
23.10.24	Ugo Humbert - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
21.10.24	Ugo Humbert - Jerome Kym	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Gael Monfils - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Arthur Cazaux - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.24	Arthur Fils - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Vienna
24.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Brandon Nakashima - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Yosuke Watanuki - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
27.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tokyo
27.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	1:3
ATP Roma
07.05.22	Ugo Humbert - Brandon Nakashima	0:2
ATP US Open
23.08.18	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	0:2

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