Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Jordan Thompson		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.58	1.57
	2.50	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.6	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.31)	1.54 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jordan Thompson
38.1%

Adrian Mannarino
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%). Mannarino will win (votes: 18 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 37.5% – 71.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Jordan Thompson (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Mannarino (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Mannarino (1.73) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Jordan Thompson (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Mannarino (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 58. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 77.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jordan Thompson won 3.

Jordan Thompson has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mannarino is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jordan Thompson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mannarino could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Mannarino will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jordan Thompson won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Corentin Moutet	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jordan Thompson	Thompson J. retired ✺
04.07.25	Luciano Darderi - Jordan Thompson	1:3 ✺
02.07.25	Jordan Thompson - Benjamin Bonzi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WL?WW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Tallon Griekspoor	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Tomas Machac - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	0:2
ATP Paris
31.10.24	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	2:0
ATP Washington
02.08.23	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	2:0
ATP Newport
20.07.23	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	1:2
ATP Hertogenbosch
16.06.23	Adrian Mannarino - Jordan Thompson	1:2
ATP Dallas
09.02.23	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	0:2
ATP Hertogenbosch
16.06.19	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	0:2

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