Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Jordan Thompson		Kei Nishikori

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.55	2.41	Watch
	1.58	2.54
	1.55	2.53	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.45	Watch
	1.55	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.48)	2.44 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jordan Thompson
61.1%

Kei Nishikori
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Kei Nishikori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jordan Thompson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kei Nishikori, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Jordan Thompson - Kei Nishikori Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Nishikori will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jordan Thompson: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 29. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 200.

Jordan Thompson is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nishikori is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nishikori could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jordan Thompson will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Jordan Thompson won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Casper Ruud - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.24	Alex De Minaur - Jordan Thompson	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Jordan Thompson	0:3 ✺
29.08.24	Jordan Thompson - Hubert Hurkacz	3:0 ✺
27.08.24	Constant Lestienne - Jordan Thompson	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWW
- Kei Nishikori
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Marin Cilic - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Juncheng Shang - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.24	Kei Nishikori - Adria Soriano Barrera	Canceled ✺
14.09.24	Kei Nishikori - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.24	Jaume Munar - Kei Nishikori	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Atlanta
25.07.23	Jordan Thompson - Kei Nishikori	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.21	Kei Nishikori - Jordan Thompson	1:3
ATP Brisbane
05.01.17	Jordan Thompson - Kei Nishikori	0:2
ATP Kooyong Classic
13.01.15	Kei Nishikori - Jordan Thompson	2:1

Jordan Thompson - Kei Nishikori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide