Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 August 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Luraghi A. (Ita)


	Jozef Kovalik		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.42
	1.57	2.32	Watch
			Watch
	1.64	2.06	Watch
	1.52	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 (1.57)	2.27 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jozef Kovalik
59.2%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Jozef Kovalik - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kovalik will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kovalik is ranked ATP: 114. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 361.

Kovalik is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Basilashvili is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Basilashvili could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kovalik will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kovalik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jozef Kovalik
ATP US Open
19.08.24	Jozef Kovalik - Seong Chan Hong	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
20.07.24	Jozef Kovalik - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
15.07.24	Cameron Norrie - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Lukas Klein - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jozef Kovalik	0:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
26.08.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
29.07.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Daniele Minighini - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
26.07.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cagliari
07.04.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jozef Kovalik	2:1
ATP Challenger
14.05.16	Jozef Kovalik - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2

Jozef Kovalik - Nikoloz Basilashvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide