Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota 4, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	Nicolas Barrientos		Juan Alejandro Hernandez

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.63	2.29
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.61	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.83)	2.16 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Barrientos
56.6%

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Barrientos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Barrientos's performance.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Alejandro Hernandez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Barrientos than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Barrientos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Alejandro Hernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Nicolas Barrientos - Juan Alejandro Hernandez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hernandez (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Juan Alejandro Hernandez will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrientos is ranked ATP: 1649. Hernandez is ranked ATP: 430.

Barrientos is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hernandez has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barrientos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barrientos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Barrientos
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Nicolas Barrientos	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Nicolas Barrientos	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Nicolas Barrientos - Thiago Cigarran	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Nicolas Barrientos - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Christoph Negritu - Nicolas Barrientos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLW
- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Hernan Casanova - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.11.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Lawrence Bataljin	Canceled ✺
06.11.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Manuel Sanchez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.04.22	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Nicolas Barrientos	0:2

Nicolas Barrientos - Juan Alejandro Hernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide