Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn (Germany), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Koske K. (Ger)


	Juan Bautista Torres		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	1.99	1.84
	1.99	1.76	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.04	1.72	Watch
	1.95	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.86)	1.77 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Bautista Torres
47.2%

Jan Choinski
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Bautista Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Bautista Torres than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Juan Bautista Torres - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Bautista Torres will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Torres is ranked ATP: 342. Choinski is ranked ATP: 228.

Torres is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Choinski is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Choinski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Torres won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Bautista Torres - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Jan Choinski - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Bautista Torres
ATP Challenger
05.08.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Henri Laaksonen	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
29.07.24	Jan Choinski - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Jan Choinski - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
23.07.24	Henri Squire - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
22.07.24	Stefano Napolitano - Jan Choinski	Canceled ✺
10.07.24	Jan Choinski - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.10.22	Jan Choinski - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0

Juan Bautista Torres - Jan Choinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide