Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Jan Choinski		Henri Squire

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.93	1.93
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	3.77	1.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.94)	1.77 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
44.3%

Henri Squire
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Henri Squire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	0%	13.6%

Jan Choinski - Henri Squire Predictions

Users Predictions: Jan Choinski will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jan Choinski will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 158. Squire is ranked ATP: 329.

Choinski is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Squire is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Squire may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Henri Squire - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.74%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
09.10.25	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Jan Choinski - Ivan Gakhov	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Jan Choinski - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Jan Choinski - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW
- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
09.10.25	Sumit Nagal - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Henri Squire - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Henri Squire - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Sergi Fita Juan - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.07.24	Jan Choinski - Henri Squire	0:2
23.07.24	Henri Squire - Jan Choinski	1:2

Jan Choinski - Henri Squire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide