Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Aleksandar Vukic		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.65
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.48	2.88
	1.41	2.83	Watch
	1.48	2.65	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.68)	2.71 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
65.2%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aleksandar Vukic's performance.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aleksandar Vukic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Aleksandar Vukic - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vukic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Aleksandar Vukic will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vukic is ranked ATP: 105. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 138.

Vukic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barrios Vera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vukic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vukic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Vukic - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.79%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.21%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Washington
29.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
27.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Dylan Dietrich - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Niels Visker	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	3:2 ✺
24.06.26	Paul Jubb - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
17.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2
ATP Challenger
22.10.19	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1

Aleksandar Vukic - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide