Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano		Gianmarco Ferrari

	1	2
	1.81	2.02
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.75	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	1.94 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
52.2%

Gianmarco Ferrari
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Gianmarco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Cruz Martin Manzano than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Cruz Martin Manzano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gianmarco Ferrari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Gianmarco Ferrari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martin Manzano is ranked ATP: 575. Ferrari is ranked ATP: 484.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Martin Manzano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Max Schoenhaus - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Mirza Basic - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLLW
- Gianmarco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Gianmarco Ferrari - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Edoardo Zanada - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Mika Petkovic - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.26	Maxime Chazal - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Mariano Tammaro - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLL

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Gianmarco Ferrari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide