Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Mirza Basic		Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

	1	2
			Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.73	2.15
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.59)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirza Basic
54.1%

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirza Basic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Cruz Martin Manzano than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Mirza Basic - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Basic will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Martin Manzano will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basic is ranked ATP: 509. Martin Manzano is ranked ATP: 606.

In recent matches, Basic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Martin Manzano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Martin Manzano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Basic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirza Basic
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Mirza Basic - Dinko Dinev	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Mirza Basic - Sergi Perez Contri	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Mirza Basic - Nazar Oliynykov	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Niels Visker - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW
- Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Finn Bass - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.03.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Viacheslav Bielinskyi	Martin Manzano J. C. walkover ✺
19.03.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Tiago Cacao	Cacao T. retired ✺
18.03.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Nikola Basic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WL??W

Mirza Basic - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide