Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Menorca - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Christoph Negritu		Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.41
	1.59	2.21	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)	2.28 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
59.1%

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christoph Negritu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Cruz Martin Manzano than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Cruz Martin Manzano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Christoph Negritu - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Predictions

Users Predictions: Christoph Negritu will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 424. Martin Manzano is ranked ATP: 606.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Negritu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Negritu could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Christoph Negritu - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.91%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Nicolas Barrientos	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Ivan Gakhov - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW
- Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Mirza Basic - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Finn Bass - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.03.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Viacheslav Bielinskyi	Martin Manzano J. C. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWL?

Christoph Negritu - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide