Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rosario, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rosario 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Juan Estevez		Andrea Pellegrino

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Juan Estevez
45.2%

Andrea Pellegrino
54.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Estevez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Estevez's form might have worsened.

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Pellegrino's recent form is better than expected.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Andrea Pellegrino will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Estevez is ranked ATP: 449. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 143.

Estevez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Estevez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Estevez
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Juan Estevez - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Juan Estevez - Valentin Garay	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Juan Estevez	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Juan Estevez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Juan Estevez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Dane Sweeny - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Milos Karol - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
01.11.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Nerman Fatic	Canceled ✺
30.09.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Johannes Ingildsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLL?L

Juan Estevez - Andrea Pellegrino