Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Dane Sweeny		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	1.18	4.5	Watch
	1.19	4.2
	1.2	4.3	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.22	4.43	Watch
	1.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.57)	4.23 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
77.8%

Andrea Pellegrino
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dane Sweeny's performance.

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Pellegrino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Dane Sweeny - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sweeny (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dane Sweeny will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Sweeny is ranked ATP: 183. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 139.

In recent matches, Sweeny has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sweeny may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sweeny is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Dane Sweeny - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
02.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.11.25	Dane Sweeny - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	James Duckworth - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWLW
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Milos Karol - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
01.11.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Nerman Fatic	Canceled ✺
30.09.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Johannes Ingildsen	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Jan Choinski - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LL?LL

Upcoming Matches